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Public Says Diverse Hiring Policies Are Important

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“The health and longevity of any brand is determined by its people. We have always known that a diverse workforce is important,” said Alton Smith, Equity Officer for Probolsky Research. “This poll should be a wake-up call to any organization that lacks a comprehensive plan to build a widely diverse team.”

Media contact: Adam Probolsky, Probolsky Research president – 949-697-6726 mobile

Our multi-mode poll was conducted by telephone with live U.S.-based interviewers and online via email and text message invitations in English and Spanish among 900 California voters from January 29 – February 3, 2022. The sample was developed from the voter file compiled by the fifty-eight California elections officials.  We matched the demographics of California voters. 

Interviews were conducted with live U.S.-based interviewers by phone (17%) and online survey methods (83%). Phone participants were interviewed through landline (36%) and mobile (64%) calls. Online participants were invited by email (50%) and text message (50%) to access the survey by computer, tablet, or smart phone. Respondents in all modes chose their preferred language, English (85%) and Spanish (15%).

A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/-3.3% and a 95% confidence level. This survey question was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan Latina- and woman-owned research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients. The firm has offices in Newport Beach, San Francisco and Washington DC.

Most Voters Say Inflation is Hard on Them

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Over 70% of voters say that inflation is making it hard for them to make ends meet. That number is bigger for Black and Latino respondents. Republicans say it’s hard on them, more so than Democrats.

“With more than two-thirds of Californians experiencing significant impacts from inflation, they are interested in hearing from anyone offering a solution,” said Probolsky Research president Adam Probolsky. “There is no discounting the fact that people are hurting, but there is some evidence that media coverage of inflation is impacting public opinion about inflation.”

Our multi-mode poll was conducted by telephone with live U.S.-based interviewers and online via email and text message invitations in English and Spanish among 900 California voters from January 29 – February 3, 2022. The sample was developed from the voter file compiled by the fifty-eight California elections officials.  We matched the demographics of California voters. 

Interviews were conducted with live U.S.-based interviewers by phone (17%) and online survey methods (83%). Phone participants were interviewed through landline (36%) and mobile (64%) calls. Online participants were invited by email (50%) and text message (50%) to access the survey by computer, tablet, or smart phone. Respondents in all modes chose their preferred language, English (85%) and Spanish (15%).

A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/-3.3% and a 95% confidence level. This survey question was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan Latina- and woman-owned research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients. The firm has offices in Newport Beach, San Francisco and Washington DC.

Government Stimulus and Freelance Opportunities to Blame for the Current Worker Shortage

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Nearly half of voters polled (48%) blame government COVID-19 relief policies, including stimulus money and halts on evictions and foreclosures for the current worker shortage. The eviction and foreclosure moratorium expired in California in October 2021. Similarly, 45% cite remote work and freelance or gig economy job opportunities for the lack of workers.

“We are seeing Americans being frustrated with the worker shortage that has brought limited restaurant and store hours and closures, and what they consider to be poor service levels,” explained Probolsky Research president Adam Probolsky. “Democrats see these changes as a shift in how our economy works, while Republicans, and to a lesser degree, independent voters, blame government handouts and policies.”

Our multi-mode poll was conducted by telephone with live U.S.-based interviewers and online via email and text message invitations in English and Spanish among 900 California voters from January 29 – February 3, 2022. The sample was developed from the voter file compiled by the fifty-eight California elections officials.  We matched the demographics of California voters. 

Interviews were conducted with live U.S.-based interviewers by phone (17%) and online survey methods (83%). Phone participants were interviewed through landline (36%) and mobile (64%) calls. Online participants were invited by email (50%) and text message (50%) to access the survey by computer, tablet, or smart phone. Respondents in all modes chose their preferred language, English (85%) and Spanish (15%).

A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/-3.3% and a 95% confidence level. This survey question was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan Latina- and woman-owned research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients. The firm has offices in Newport Beach, San Francisco and Washington DC.

Voters Oppose Cuts to Solar Incentives

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Reports that California regulators are looking at cutting the incentives offered for installing solar in homes have sparked vocal opposition. We decided to test broad public opinion on the subject among California voters in our latest statewide poll and found a large majority of voters oppose the move that would make installing rooftop solar much less cost-effective in the state.

Probolsky Research president Adam Probolsky talks about the poll finding:

It appears that California regulators are out of touch with the voters on this issue. We have conditioned the public to conserve energy and look for greener alternatives. Cutting incentives for solar does not jive with the narrative of going green.

Voters across the spectrum Democratic, No Party Preference, and Republican oppose these incentive cuts. In fact, in every way of looking at the data, by age, gender, preferred language, and geography, voters align in their opposition to cutting solar incentives.

Regulators have a big challenge on their hands. They will have to backtrack on their plans or mount a huge effort to educate the public on why they need to make changes.

QUESTION: California regulators are proposing to cut the incentives for solar offered to homeowners, making it much less cost-effective for installing rooftop solar. Do you support or oppose cutting these incentives?

Every demographic group opposes the cutting the incentives. The charts below illustrate

Our multi-mode poll was conducted by telephone with live U.S.-based interviewers and online via email and text message invitations in English and Spanish among 900 California voters from January 29 – February 3, 2022. The sample was developed from the voter file compiled by the fifty-eight California elections officials. We matched the demographics of California voters.

Interviews were conducted with live U.S.-based interviewers by phone (17%) and online survey methods (83%). Phone participants were interviewed through landline (36%) and mobile (64%) calls. Online participants were invited by email (50%) and text message (50%) to access the survey by computer, tablet, or smart phone. Respondents in all modes chose their preferred language, English (85%) and Spanish (15%).

A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/-3.3% and a 95% confidence level. This survey question was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan Latina- and woman-owned research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients. The firm has offices in Newport Beach, San Francisco and Washington DC.

Effort to Eliminate Collective Bargaining Would Fail

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Public employee unions in California have little to worry about from the proposed ballot measure by businessman Tim Draper, that aims to eliminate collective bargaining. Fewer than 1/3 of voters support the proposal.

QUESTION: Here is a ballot initiative that may be facing California voters in 2022, “Eliminates collective bargaining for teachers, police officers, nurses, firefighters, and other public employees. Initiative Constitutional Amendment. Eliminates collective bargaining between state/local governments and labor organizations (including unions) representing teachers, police officers, nurses, firefighters, and other public employees about wages, benefits, hours, labor disputes, or other work conditions. Requires the Governor-appointed State Personnel Board to establish wages and benefits for state employees. Prohibits new or amended public-employee labor agreements, including extensions, but does not impact existing agreements. Authorizes state/local governments to provide up to 12 months of severance pay to employees who resign within three months of measure’s enactment.” If the election were held today would you vote yes or no on this measure? 

There is no demographic group that supports the takedown of public employee unions.

The full text of the proposed ballot initiative can be found on the Secretary of State’s website here.

Our multi-mode poll was conducted by telephone and online among 900 California voters from November 12 – 18, 2021. A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/-3.3% and a 95% confidence level. This survey question was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan Latina- and woman-owned research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

Voters Are Mixed on Proposed Gas Tax Repeal in Circulation

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The results of our latest poll show voters are mixed on the the gas tax repeal initiative being circulated now.

The results show a divided electorate and almost no majority support or opposition among any demographics, geography or vote propensity.

In order to get the widest possible view of the possible November election, we polled among all California voters.

Probolsky Research has no client related to the proposed gas tax repeal initiative and this poll was not paid for or sponsored by any third party. We are releasing this data for public-interest purposes only.

The poll presentation can be found here:

 

Poizner Leads in Race for CA Insurance Commissioner

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Could former Insurance Commissioner take back his old job and make history by being the first statewide elected official in California to win a partisan race as a “no party preference” candidate? Maybe.

His monster lead among Republicans and sizable lead among independent voters are what’s propelling him today.

In order to get the widest possible view of the race, we polled among all California voters and Poizner leads across nearly all voting propensity breaks. CA State Senator Ricardo Lara is winning among new registrants.

Probolsky Research has no client in the 2018 CA Insurance Commissioner race and this poll was not paid for or sponsored by any third party. We are releasing this data for public-interest purposes only.

The poll presentation can be found here:

 

Feinstein Leads de León in the CA U.S. Senate Race (General Election match-up)

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There is little doubt that incumbent U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein and CA State Senator Kevin de León will advance to the November General Election as the top two vote getters. With that in mind, we chose to look ahead to see how the race is shaping up so far.

In order to get the widest possible view of the race, we polled among all California voters and Feinstein leads across nearly all voting propensity breaks. de León takes a small lead among the small group of newer voters.

The biggest discovery from the poll is that Republicans, who generally know and dislike Feinstein, give de León their vote by a slim margin, in the absence of a Republican on the ballot.

Probolsky Research has no client in the 2018 CA U.S. Senate race and these questions were not paid for or sponsored by any third party. We are releasing this data for public-interest purposes only.

The presentation can be found here:

The full report with all cross tabulated results can be found here: