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Poizner Leads in Race for CA Insurance Commissioner

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Could former Insurance Commissioner take back his old job and make history by being the first statewide elected official in California to win a partisan race as a “no party preference” candidate? Maybe.

His monster lead among Republicans and sizable lead among independent voters are what’s propelling him today.

In order to get the widest possible view of the race, we polled among all California voters and Poizner leads across nearly all voting propensity breaks. CA State Senator Ricardo Lara is winning among new registrants.

Probolsky Research has no client in the 2018 CA Insurance Commissioner race and this poll was not paid for or sponsored by any third party. We are releasing this data for public-interest purposes only.

The poll presentation can be found here:

 

Feinstein Leads de León in the CA U.S. Senate Race (General Election match-up)

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There is little doubt that incumbent U.S. Senator Dianne Feinstein and CA State Senator Kevin de León will advance to the November General Election as the top two vote getters. With that in mind, we chose to look ahead to see how the race is shaping up so far.

In order to get the widest possible view of the race, we polled among all California voters and Feinstein leads across nearly all voting propensity breaks. de León takes a small lead among the small group of newer voters.

The biggest discovery from the poll is that Republicans, who generally know and dislike Feinstein, give de León their vote by a slim margin, in the absence of a Republican on the ballot.

Probolsky Research has no client in the 2018 CA U.S. Senate race and these questions were not paid for or sponsored by any third party. We are releasing this data for public-interest purposes only.

The presentation can be found here:

The full report with all cross tabulated results can be found here:

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