Ballot Measure Feasibility Polling

Make confident decisions on your next revenue measure with statistically valid polling and actionable insights. Our polling show you the feasibility and key features that will resonate most with the voters.

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Organizations That Choose Probolsky Research

Move forward with the confidence of knowing where your voters stand. And how to best communicate with them.

Why Choose Probolsky Research for Your Next Community Survey?

  • Custom surveys: We create a custom survey strategy for every client. We do not take a cookie cutter approach to your poll. Your community is unique and you deserve to have research that addresses your specific goals.
  • Local government specialists: With hundreds of government agency clients, our team has designed and conducted over 1,000 surveys.
  • Actionable Election Blueprints: Our data provides a clear path to forward, how to do education and outreach, the ideal rate, duration, and funding priorities.
  • Focus on Likely Voters: We use election data and our decades of experience to accurately sample the precise universe of voters whose we expect to cast a ballot in the upcoming election.
  • In-the-Trenches Campaign Experience*: We have worked on hundreds of election campaigns. We take a more sophisticated approach that goes beyond the academic or standard community survey.

*We know that your agency is not going to advocate for an election outcome. Our experience informs the unbiased education and outreach your will undertake.

We are the only nonpartisan pollster that works for local government and has a strong election practice.

We have a 100% accuracy and success rate for local ballot measures 2024 – 2026.

Types of Bond, Debt, & Revenue Measure Polls

Sales & Use Taxes

  • Parcel Taxes
  • Transient Occupancy Taxes (TOT) (Hotel, Motel, and Short-Term Rental/Airbnb Taxes)
  • Utility Users Taxes (UUT) (Electricity, Gas, Water, Telecommunications)
  • Business License Taxes (Gross Receipts or Employee Headcount)
  • Payroll / Local Income Taxes
  • Cannabis / Marijuana Business Taxes
  • Documentary / Real Estate Transfer Taxes
  • Excise Taxes (Sugar-sweetened beverages, alcohol, vaping/tobacco)
  • Vacancy / Empty Homes/Storfront Taxes

Bonds & Debt Issuances

  • General Obligation (GO) Bonds
  • School Facilities & Tech Bonds (K-12 and Community Colleges)
  • Revenue Bonds (Backed by specific revenue streams like utilities or tolls)
  • Transportation & Infrastructure Bonds
  • Pension Obligation Bonds (POBs)
  • Affordable Housing & Homelessness Bonds
  • Lease Revenue Bonds & Certificates of Participation (COPs)

Millages (Property Tax Overrides)

  • Operating Millages (General fund support)
  • Capital Improvement & Sinking Fund Millages
  • Public Safety Millages (Police, Fire, EMS, and 911 Dispatch)
  • Parks, Recreation & Open Space Millages
  • Library & Cultural Institution Millages
  • Senior Services & Mental Health Millages
  • School District Operating Millages / Non-Homestead Millages
  • Road, Street, and Transit Millages

Fees, Assessments & Special Districts

  • Benefit Assessments / Special Benefit Assessments (Lighting, landscaping, fire suppression)
  • Property & Business Improvement Districts (PBID / BID)
  • Community Facilities Districts (CFD)
  • Stormwater, Clean Water & Flood Control Fees
  • Franchise Fees (Solid waste, utilities)

We also conduct community surveys, employee engagement surveys, and qualitative research like focus groups, community discussion forums and individual in-depth interviews.

Polling Methodology

  • Statistically valid, stratified random sampling of likely voters
  • Modeling to identify the optimal election cycle
  • Identify primary drivers for support and opposition
  • Guidance on ideal rates and other provisions
  • Determine measure(s) viability
  • Testing several alternative revenue mechanisms in one poll
  • Custom survey design, unique for your community
  • Multiple modes (mail, online, telephone, etc.)
  • In-person and virtual presentations
  • Custom reporting
  • Ongoing consulting and collaboration with other consultants
  • Trend analysis
  • Expertise in diverse communities
  • ADA (Section 508) compliance and DEI sensitivity
  • Geospatial mapping
  • Multilingual

Let us help you make more informed decisions for what’s next.

Call now 800-492-9556 or complete this form.

Email RFPs to bids@probolskyresearch.com

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What is a Statistically Valid Community Survey? Read about it here.

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