Our poll conducted this week found continued dissatisfaction with San Francisco Mayor London Breed, so much so that she would lose a re-election bid if the election was held today. “Even with limited name ID Supervisor Safaí beats Mayor Breed,” explained Adam Probolsky, the pollster who conducted the survey. “The Mayor is upside-down with voters. This is just one reason she is losing to a lesser-known candidate.”

Public safety and homelessness are the top concerns of voters. No other issue comes close.

Methodology

From June 16 to June 20, 2023, Probolsky Research conducted a survey am­­­ong likely San Francisco 2024 General Election voters. A total of 300 voters were surveyed yielding a margin of error of +/-5.8%, with a confidence level of 95%. Interviews were conducted online (67%) and via live telephone phone interview (33%) survey methods. Online participants were invited by email and text to web to access the survey by computer, tablet, or smartphone. Respondents in all modes chose their preferred language, English (97%), Cantonese (2%), and Spanish (1%). The poll was sponsored by the San Francisco Deputy Sheriff’s Association.

^[1]QUESTIONS: What is the most important issue facing your community today? // Here is a list of several individuals and organizations. For each name, please indicate if you have heard of them and if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you have no opinion or have never heard of them, that’s OK. // Do you think that San Francisco Mayor London breed deserves to be re-elected? // If the election for San Francisco Mayor were held today, for which candidate would you vote. Pick one.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan woman and Latina-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, non-profit, and special interest clients.