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Schiff and Garvey Lead for U.S. Senate in California

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We know the candidate field is not set, but everyone wants to know who’s viable in the race for U.S. Senate in California. And the numbers show that Congressman Schiff and Congresswoman Porter both have a shot.

Rep. Adam Schiff (D) and businessman Steve Garvey (R) lead with about 21% of the vote for each of them. Even more voters (23%) are undecided.

“We don’t see a viable path for Rep. Barbara Lee,” said Adam Probolsky, the pollster who conducted the poll and president of Probolsky Research. “There is no chance that a Republican could win in the General Election, but for the moment, having a former Major League Baseball player in the mix looks promising for the GOP to have a chance at being on the ballot in November.”

This survey was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan woman and Latina-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

Candidate Age Perception Polling

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Our recent poll of California voters found a high level of concern over cognitive decline among presidential candidates and a desire to elect a U.S. Senator that is younger than 78 years old.

“We respect our parents, grandparents, and great grandparents, and the wisdom they bring to politics and public policy,” explained Adam Probolsky, president of Probolsky Research. “We simply see the conversation happening about age and want to understand the motivations of the voters. Clearly they have strong feelings.”

When asked about concern over the age of candidates in the presidential election, there was a near 42% differential between Democratic and Republican voters. The willingness to elect an older U.S. Senator was higher among Democratic than Republican voters, but the differential between the two parties was significantly less at only 17%. This may speak to a Democratic voter instinct to defend President Joe Biden amidst the critiques of his age as he gears up for reelection.

This survey was not sponsored by a third party, the results are being released for public interest.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan woman and Latina-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

© Probolsky Research