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The Voter – Policymaker Divide on Water

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A poll conducted in November discovered that California voters have a distinctly different view from environmental and political leadership on how to address the future of water.

Dr. Adam Probolsky, president of Probolsky Research presented the poll results at the California Foundation on the Environment and the Economy (CFEE) Water Conference in Indian Wells which included some of the state’s top elected officials and advocacy groups leadership.

Surface storage (dams and reservoirs) are supported by seventy-two percent of voters.

Ocean water desalination is supported by seventy-seven percent of the voters.

The real number is closer to 80% of the state’s water supply going to agricultural use.

All this adds up to a challenge for the environmental community that is largely opposed to dams and desalination. It may also be an opportunity for supporters of new water infrastructure. They may use these voter sentiments in how they approach funding.

A more complete look at the polling data on water policy can be found here.

California Statewide Voter Poll – Add-on Questions

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Unique Research Opportunity: Add Your Questions to Statewide Voter Polls in California

Probolsky Research is conducting a statewide voter poll in California and accepting add-on questions from organizations, advocacy groups, candidates, industry, and researchers. Results will be available first week of September 2025.

Overview of This Unique Polling Opportunity

Probolsky Research is offering organizations the chance to add custom questions to our upcoming statewide voter poll in California. You gain access to statewide polling data that would usually require conducting your own poll.

Poll Details

Sample Size: 900 registered voters
Languages: English and Spanish
Survey Methods: Multimode: online via email and text-to-Web + live interviewing on landline, mobile phones
Margin of Error: +/-3.3% at 95% confidence level
Results Timeline: First week of September 2025

What’s Included

When you add questions to our statewide polls, you receive a complete research package that provides actionable insights and professional presentation materials:

  1. Comprehensive Data Analysis Presentation

Top-line Results: Clear, straightforward answers to your questions with percentage breakdowns

Cross-tabulations: Detailed analysis showing how different demographic groups (age, gender, party affiliation, geographic region, etc.) responded to your questions

Open-ended Question Analysis: If your questions include open-ended components, we provide thematic analysis and categorization of responses

  1. Professional Media Support (Optional)

Custom media release highlighting key findings from your questions
Media availability with our research team to discuss results

  1. Complete Confidentiality Protection

Your participation and specific questions remain confidential
You control all aspects of how and when your results are shared publicly

Pricing

$2,400 per question (Multi-question discounts available)

Participating in our statewide polling opportunity is straightforward and designed to accommodate your organization’s specific research needs and timeline.

Step 1: Question Development and Consultation – contact our team to discuss your research objectives and question development.
Step 2: Question Finalization and Reporting – once your questions are finalized, we discuss reporting format preferences and earned media support (if requested)
Step 3: Poll Conducted
Step 4: Results Delivery and Analysis

Receive your complete results package during the first week of September, including all analysis, cross-tabulations, and presentation materials.

About Probolsky Research

Probolsky Research is a national nonpartisan, Latina, and woman-owned market and opinion research firm.

Contact: Adam Probolsky
Phone: (800) 492-9556
Email: info@probolskyresearch.com

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Most people do not understand public affairs, so Dr. Adam Probolsky wrote this primer:


/// Many executives are great at business, but uninformed about public affairs and political risk because they have never had to know how to navigate government

/// The need to engage with government is extending to broader groups of industries – to head off or fix a problem / or for prospective opportunities

/// There is a public affairs approach that successful companies use and can be adopted to great effect, just ask, any public affairs professional can share the typical roadmap

/// This is not comms, lobbying, marketing, market research, or PR – public affairs has elements of all of them, but donโ€™t assume your existing team can โ€œjust handle itโ€

/// Public affairs practitioners have worked in politics or possibly government – there is no secret sauce, but when you have a heart attack, you want the board-certified cardiologist, not the school nurse – the same goes for public affairs

/// It may sound unoriginal, but the first step is to get a strong consulting team in place

/// 99% of public affairs happens at the state and city/county level, itโ€™s not always as exciting or sexy as what happens nationally

Probolsky Research partners with consultants that operate in the public affairs space. We love collaborating. We love winning.

New Yorkers Have a Long List of Demands

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From homelessness and affordable housing to fixing public transit, protecting subway riders, and improving education and public safety, Democratic Primary voters in New York have high expectations that are not being met.

The poll also finds that Mayor Adams has a narrow path to re-election and that Governor Cuomo would be an instant frontrunner should he decide to get into the race.

Call or text Dr. Adam Probolsky at (949) 697-6726 for comments or more information about the poll.

Methodology

From January 7 to January 13, 2025, Probolsky Research conducted a survey among likely 2025 New York City Democratic Primary Election voters. The sample was compiled from voter file data and matched to the demographics of likely voters. A stratified random sampling methodology was used to ensure accurate representation.

The survey was administered by phone (33%) and online (67%). Phone interviews were conducted via landline (32%) and mobile (68%), while online participants were invited by email (50%) and text message (50%). Respondents could choose their preferred language: Cantonese (<1%), English (94%), or Spanish (6%).

The survey has a margin of error of +/-5% citywide and +/-5.8% for Manhattan oversample, CCD 28 oversample, and CCD 39 oversample, all with a 95% confidence level.

These results are being released for public interest only.

Probolsky Research is a nonpartisan Latina and woman-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

Published in GreenBook: Four Ways to Make Inclusive Research Lead to More Accurate Insights

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Adam Probolsky was recently featured in GreenBook with an original article about how to make insights more accurate (and inclusive).

Key Takeaways:

  • Ensure people with disabilities can participate.
  • Incorporate multiple language options.
  • Choose research modes that reach your audience.
  • Grow & train a research team with inclusivity in mind.

Read the full article here: https://www.greenbook.org/insights/research-methodologies/four-ways-to-make-inclusive-research-lead-to-more-accurate-insights

Many consumers see electric vehicles as a viable option

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We are at a pivotal moment for electric vehicle (EV) adoption – the data suggest consumers are warming to EVs.ย When 38% of consumers want something, it is not going away.

Call or text Adam Probolsky regarding this research – 949-697-6726.

Probolsky Research is a Latina- and woman-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

This survey was conducted in partnership with Veloz. 

Our results presentation can be viewed below.

Yes on CA Prop. 34 Shows Signs of Passing

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Probolsky Research conducted a statewide poll and asked likely voters how they would vote on Proposition 34 on the November General Election ballot. The ‘yes’ vote is winning but there are signs of weakness among certain demographic groups that the ‘no’ campaign might exploit. See memo below for details.

Contact Adam Probolsky at (949) 697-6726 for comments or more information about the poll.

Methodology

From July 31 to August 8, 2024, Probolsky Research conducted a poll among 900 likely 2024 General Election voters. The sample was drawn from voter files compiled by election officials across all 58 counties in California, using a stratified random sampling methodology to ensure it accurately reflects the demographic composition of likely 2024 General Election California voters. The poll was administered by phone (33%) and online (67%), yielding a margin of error of +/-3.3% with a 95% confidence level. 

We did not have a client associated with this research. It was conducted for public interest only.

Probolsky Research is a nonpartisan Latina and woman-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

Race for San Francisco Mayor Tied

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San Francisco uses ranked-choice voting. Ours is the only public poll that fully adheres to how the City’s Election Department counts the votes.

“Farrell’s strength this early in the election cycle is a very good sign for his campaign,” explained Adam Probolsky, president of Probolsky Research. “While tied for the lead, Breed has limited upside potential — she needs to hold on to every vote she has. Farrell has room to grow his support base from voters who are currently choosing other challenger candidates.”

Contact Adam Probolsky at 949-697-6726 for comments or additional background.

This poll was funded by the San Francisco Deputy Sheriffโ€™s Association Political Action Committee.

Probolsky Research is a non-partisan, Latina and woman-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.

LISTEN: Insights to Communicate Podcast with guest Marco Paredes, hosted by Adam Probolsky

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This episode features Marco Paredes, attorney/lobbyist and go-to guy for Florida advocacy. We talked about how he ended up in Tallahassee, his lobbying style, and his popular weekly newsletter about the Florida legislature that he started during the pandemic – Rotunda Report.

Marco Paredes is a Shareholder and serves as the Director of Government Affairs for the law firm of Stearns Weaver Miller in Florida. Marco helps clients formulate and execute strategies to achieve their desired policy goals by advocating for their business interests and priorities before state government.

Link to episode on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/marco-paredes/id1707096907?i=1000629543727