Bass Leads in Race for Los Angeles Mayor
UPDATE: The Los Angeles Times wrote about our poll. Read the coverage here: https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2022-10-02/september-mayoral-poll
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“Rick Caruso has a sizable lead of more than 10% among Latino voters and an even bigger lead among Spanish speakers,” said Adam Probolsky, pollster and data scientist.
“Caruso has a massive lead among Republican voters and outperforms Bass among No Party Preference (independent) voters. But Democratic voters will represent over 65% of turnout in November. And Democrats are supporting Bass.”
Adam Probolsky explained, “Bass or Caruso can still win this race. But Bass’ lead among white voters, the largest constituency, means she will be hard to beat.”
Poll Methodology
From September 19 – 25, 2022, Probolsky Research conducted a statistically valid multi-mode, live interviewer telephone (landlines and mobile phones) and online (email and text to web) poll among 500 City of Los Angeles likely 2022 General Election voters which yields a margin of error of +/-4.5%, and a confidence level of 95%. Respondents in all modes chose their preferred language, English (87%), Spanish (12%) or Korean (1%).
This poll was sponsored by Klink Campaigns and the results are being released for public interest.
Probolsky Research is a non-partisan woman and Latina-owned market and opinion research firm with corporate, election, government, and non-profit clients.
