LA Measure S Likely to Lose, Garcetti Job Approval High

Probolsky Research conducted a poll of likely March 7, City of Los Angeles Voters – the results show that Measure S is likely to fail. Also, Mayor Eric Garcetti has high job approval marks.

The presentation can be found here:

March Election – Probolsky – City of Los Angeles Likely Voter TRACKING Survey – Presentation

 

The full report on results can be found here:

City of Los Angeles Likely Voter Survey – Full Report

 

Methodology:

From Thursday, February 16 through Sunday, February 19, 2017 Probolsky Research conducted a telephone survey of likely voters within the City of Los Angeles.

A total of 300 voters were surveyed. A survey of this size yields a margin of error of +/-5.8% with a confidence level of 95%. Interviews were conducted with voters on both landline and mobile phones (46% were completed on mobile phones) and were offered in English and Spanish languages.

Our sample was developed from voter files originally compiled by the Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder. Probolsky Research applies a stratified random sampling methodology to our sample design. In other words, we ensure that the demographic proportions of survey respondents match the demographic composition of the universe being researched.

Probolsky Research specializes in opinion research on behalf of business, government, non-profit and special interest clients.

Probolsky on Campaigns and Elections Panel: Is Political Polling Truly Broken

Probolsky Research CEO, Adam Probolsky’s presentation can be found at this link:

Probolsky Research – CandE Presentation 2017

 

It’s the News Media’s Job to Fact-Check Politicians, Report When They Lie

The new Probolsky Research national poll shows that the American People believe it is the responsibility of the news media to fact-check politicians and report when they lie.

Thirteen percent disagree.

Link to infographic: http://www.probolskyresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Fact-check.jpg

Methodology:

Probolsky Research surveyed a nationally representative sample of 1,000 adults living in the United States. Telephone interviews were conducted by landline and mobile phone (500). The survey was offered in both English and Spanish (43 respondents chose to complete the survey in Spanish) and conducted from February 2 – 5, 2017. Statistical results are weighted to compensate for demographic discrepancies. We utilize rounding to bring aggregate responses to 100% for presentation purposes. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.9%.

 

Probolsky Research conducts opinion research on behalf of business, government, media, non-profit, and special interest clients. Adam Probolsky is CEO of Probolsky Research.

Majority of Americans Believe 1M Manufacturing Jobs Will Return Under Trump

The new Probolsky Research national poll shows that a majority (55%) of Americans expect one million manufacturing jobs to return to the U.S. during the Trump Presidency.

And 41% say its not likely that these jobs will come back.

Link to infographic: http://www.probolskyresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Manufacturing-jobs.jpg

Methodology:

Probolsky Research surveyed a nationally representative sample of 1,000 adults living in the United States. Telephone interviews were conducted by landline and mobile phone (500). The survey was offered in both English and Spanish (43 respondents chose to complete the survey in Spanish) and conducted from February 2 – 5, 2017. Statistical results are weighted to compensate for demographic discrepancies. We utilize rounding to bring aggregate responses to 100% for presentation purposes. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.9%.

 

Probolsky Research conducts opinion research on behalf of business, government, media, non-profit, and special interest clients. Adam Probolsky is CEO of Probolsky Research.

36% of Americans: U.S. Could Break Down and Cease to Exist as We Know it

Most Americans do not believe the country will end during President Trumps time in office. But 36% say it is likely that the U.S. will break down and cease to exist as we know it.

Link to infographic: http://www.probolskyresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/End-of-America.jpg

Methodology:

Probolsky Research surveyed a nationally representative sample of 1,000 adults living in the United States. Telephone interviews were conducted by landline and mobile phone (500). The survey was offered in both English and Spanish (43 respondents chose to complete the survey in Spanish) and conducted from February 2 – 5, 2017. Statistical results are weighted to compensate for demographic discrepancies. We utilize rounding to bring aggregate responses to 100% for presentation purposes. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.9%.

 

Probolsky Research conducts opinion research on behalf of business, government, media, non-profit, and special interest clients. Adam Probolsky is CEO of Probolsky Research.

Majority: It is Inappropriate for President Trump to Criticize Individual Companies

The new national poll by Probolsky Research shows that a majority (52%) of Americans say it is inappropriate for the President to single out companies for moving jobs out of the country and to publicly criticize them.

However, 40% say it is appropriate.

Link to infographic: http://www.probolskyresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/POTUS-on-Cos.jpg

Methodology:

Probolsky Research surveyed a nationally representative sample of 1,000 adults living in the United States. Telephone interviews were conducted by landline and mobile phone (500). The survey was offered in both English and Spanish (43 respondents chose to complete the survey in Spanish) and conducted from February 2 – 5, 2017. Statistical results are weighted to compensate for demographic discrepancies. We utilize rounding to bring aggregate responses to 100% for presentation purposes. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.9%.

 

Probolsky Research conducts opinion research on behalf of business, government, media, non-profit, and special interest clients. Adam Probolsky is CEO of Probolsky Research.

Over 60% of Americans Oppose a Border Tax on Mexican Goods to Fund a Wall

Our new national poll shows that 62% of Americans oppose a 20% tax on products imported from Mexico – funds that would pay for President Trumps proposed border wall.

Just shy of one-third of Americans support such a border tax.

Link to infographic: http://www.probolskyresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/Border-tax.jpg

Methodology:

Probolsky Research surveyed a nationally representative sample of 1,000 adults living in the United States. Telephone interviews were conducted by landline and mobile phone (500). The survey was offered in both English and Spanish (43 respondents chose to complete the survey in Spanish) and conducted from February 2 – 5, 2017. Statistical results are weighted to compensate for demographic discrepancies. We utilize rounding to bring aggregate responses to 100% for presentation purposes. The margin of error for this survey is +/-3.9%.

 

Probolsky Research conducts opinion research on behalf of business, government, media, non-profit, and special interest clients. Adam Probolsky is CEO of Probolsky Research.

Opinion Research in Action: Upgraded Electric Transmission Lines Approved by PUC

Here is another great example of how polling and focus groups play an important role in the process of understanding communities and building support for large-scale infrastructure projects. In this case, the South Orange County Reliability Enhancement (SOCRE) project.

Probolsky Research worked on this project, conducting focus groups and polling to help identify the community’s understanding of the issue, their hopes and needs. This included multi-lingual research, testing visuals and complex concepts.

“The polling and focus groups you facilitated was the foundation of our outreach effort. Understanding community values was key to our messaging.” -Duane Cave, External Relations Manager – San Diego Gas & Electric

San Diego Business Journal article:
http://sdbj.com/news/2016/dec/18/san-diego-gas-electric-gets-ok-upgrading-oc-substa/

The project wrap-up by SDGE:
http://emarketing.emcdesignca.com/t/ViewEmail/y/78548BF3EFB1B0DC/DD6B42F6D80AD36EC4DA2C823DDA3384

A Playbook for the Multi-Agency Pitch

Published in Campaigns and Elections:

Some political and public affairs consulting firms are big enough to have the resources to meet all a client’s needs in-house. But for the rest of us, we tend to partner with other firms who specialize in a particular practice area.

Lucky for pollsters like us, even full-service firms tend not to have opinion research (polling, focus groups, online polling) as a part of their offering. And for good reason: it requires a totally different set of skills and expertise than is typically involved with the creative process, public relations and advocacy work.

It might be hard for some people outside of the political arena to understand, but we work largely on trust and reputation. As a result, making the decision to move forward working with a new firm or consultant can be made quickly if they come highly recommended or you know of and respect their work.

As a specialty firm, we tend to be brought in by other firms to partner on projects. Often the consultant just tells the client we will act as pollster and the project is off and running. But there are times when we are tasked with making a more formal proposal in order to earn the business. This often involves a joint pitch meeting with our partner firm or firms.

We have hundreds of consultants all around the country with whom we work with regularly. When meeting together with any of these firms and a prospective client, our history and working knowledge of each other’s capabilities is evident. The flow of the presentation and overall conversation is a powerful demonstration of our working relationship, and clients tend to appreciate this cohesiveness.

For any growing firm, however, there will inevitably be situations where you are proposing on new business with a new partner. These are the times where a playbook for how to look cohesive when you have little or no history with your pitch partner is helpful. This playbook was developed over the course of the last 20 years of being on hundreds of teams with great consultants.

Make sure you’re familiar with the names and backgrounds of the people who will be in the meeting. This might sound silly, but I have been in meetings with new partners that had not read my part of the proposal or anything about my firm. This can lead to confusion over the role of each consultant and make the team look loosely cobbled together. If you have ever seen a spy movie like Argo, you know how important it is to know your back story.

Arrange a team conference call or Skype meeting prior to the pitch meeting. This allows all players to put a face with a name, which is important to making it look like everyone knows each other when you get to the client meeting. Now, I am not suggesting that consultants lie to clients or prospective clients about having worked together or about the depth of the working relationship. But having a rapport that looks seamless and has an easy flow can give the client some comfort in the ability for the players to work together.

Make it a priority to reference the specific work or task to be done by the other consultant(s) in the room. Naturally, over the course of the conversation you should integrate the other consultant, speaking about his or her role and how it relates to the project and your work. The goal is to demonstrate how a group of different specialists can work together seamlessly to deliver an extraordinary product for the client.

Work a past joint project with the other consultant(s) into the conversation. If you have absolutely no history together, then this is a nonstarter. But the consulting word is small enough that, even if you have not specifically worked together in the past, you have likely shared a client or work in an industry – even tangentially.

Do a team debrief. This will allow everyone to get specific feedback on what was helpful and not, and make the next pitch meeting go even better.

As enjoyable it is to work directly for a client, if you follow these pointers, it could be much more rewarding to work as part of a consulting team that accomplishes the goal together.

Adam Probolsky is CEO of Probolsky Research, a California-based opinion research firm with business, government, non-profit and political clients.